POSTSCRIPT
After a year crammed with political challenges
from the Movement for Democratic Change and endless media predictions
of Robert Mugabe’s imminent demise, Zimbabwe’s perennially cocky
dictator remained firmly in control. The country’s economy plunged
further in 2008 than most analysts had thought possible. Africa’s
equivocal mediation for change - highlighted by an ill-conceived
September power-sharing agreement that left Mugabe doing all the
hiring and firing – was barely alive while Western hopes for United
Nations sanctions aimed at impoverishing Zanu-PF’s hierarchy had
died in the Security Council.
Zimbabwe’s bankruptcy, including
the highest rate of inflation in history and a rural population
on the brink of starvation, did not deter Mugabe from shouting
the old odds against Britain, blaming others at every turn as if
his own cause were unassailable. The concern he had once exhibited
for the welfare of his people had vanished, leaving him capable
of absolutely any abuse in order to remain in power. Often eloquent,
always arrogant and apparently enjoying the media’s attention in
international forums despite arresting foreign correspondents at
home, Mugabe continued to rule the roost. He simply swept aside
the human rights accusations that had been piling up since the
onset of his disastrous land-grab in 2000, carrying on as he pleased
and as if he could do no wrong.
Early in the year, Mugabe lost
the long-awaited presidential election to his rival Morgan Tsvangirai,
although the opposition fell just short of winning 50% of the vote
and the contest went to a second round. In cunningly distracting
the watching world by delaying final vote counting for weeks during
the run-up to a mandatory election run-off, Zimbabwe’s ever-resourceful
leader gave himself time to organize his party militarily in traditionally
loyal and easily intimidated rural areas. The ensuing vicious crackdown,
aimed at both hardcore MDC voters as well as disabused Zanu-PF
supporters, persuaded Morgan Tsvangirai to withdraw from the race
on humanitarian grounds - and left Mugabe to claim victory.
The
ageing president’s declining popularity at home had, however, weakened
Mugabe’s dictatorship. The polls showed that he could be beaten,
though not without a fight. African observer missions were critical
of him for the first time. Yet despite looking humiliated once
or twice, snoozing through vital meetings and appearing disorientated
at times, he seemed not to have exhausted his supply of political
tricks. I
n response to the important cracks emerging in the African
leadership solidarity that had helped him retain power, Mugabe
took to humiliating his African critics in closed meetings and
then to rebuking Botswana’s premier publicly for turning against
him. Rumours of disarray in his own ranks occasionally hinted at
a possible uprising from within Zanu-PF but Mugabe successfully
played one ambition against another in his own interests. By accurately
exposing the double standards of Western leaders, Mugabe continued
to convey the uncomfortable impression to all but his harshest
Western critics that, despite the monster’s manifest brutality,
much of what he said was true.
It was also thanks to the malleable
nature of Zimbabwe’s opposition leader that Mugabe gained yet more
time to plot his survival in 2008. After years of bitter rivalry,
the two men talked agreeably when they met for a private dinner
following the awkward public handshake that had first signaled
their apparent commitment to power-sharing in July.
Morgan Tsvangirai
- who has repeatedly suffered arrest and assault at the hands of
Mugabe’s regime – described to me how the tension disappeared during
their first one-on-one meeting. “A passer-by might have mistaken
it for a lost father-son reunion,” Tsvangirai said. “Initially,
there was tension between us but as we chatted about this and that
and became more relaxed, I discovered that he was a human being
after all.”
Only weeks earlier, scores of opposition supporters
had been murdered and thousands assaulted during the bloodiest
of election campaigns. But Tsvangirai said these traumatic events
did not come between him and the 84-year-old Mugabe. “We chatted
about family, about my mother, as well as about politics and the
talks. Mugabe ate a lot and knew exactly what he wanted. He is
very alert mentally but, physically, the age is telling.”
Tsvangirai
was subsequently accused by some of his advisers of giving away
too much at the secret 90-minute dinner with Mugabe. He told me
it would be “unfair” to reveal the political details of his discussion
with Zimbabwe’s president at Harare’s Rainbow Towers Hotel. But
he said Mugabe was concerned about his place in history and genuinely
worried about Britain’s alleged plots to oust him – a constant
feature of Mugabe’s speeches. “I got the impression that he has
a deep commitment to his legacy. I realized that he actually believes
a lot of what he is saying; it’s not all said just for propaganda
purposes. He is paranoid about the British. I think overall he
wants to prove to them that he is right,” said Tsvangirai.
As for
the British government, Morgan Tsvangirai discovered that Mugabe
views Gordon Brown as an even more dedicated opponent than Tony
Blair. “I said, ‘Why don’t you talk to them?’ And he said, ‘Well,
you know, Blair was bad enough but this Brown, he is even worse’.”
Although Mugabe has been responsible for thousands of deaths since
he won power in 1980, the old leader appeared genuinely pained
about how he is portrayed, according to Tsvangirai. “At one point
Mugabe told me, ‘You know, some people say I’m a murderer. But
I’m not. Let the two of us carry on eating together and showing
that we can go forward in peace’.”
Mugabe seemed to have blanked
out the brutality which has characterized his rule, stubbornly
denying his own responsibility throughout the dinner. “It felt
like a remarkably normal conversation most of the time, apart from
his denial of the violence in Zimbabwe,” said Tsvangirai. “He seemed
to be unaware or he feigned ignorance of the atrocities committed
by his own people. I wondered if he
was suppressing knowledge of something he was not comfortable with.
Right up to the end of the dinner, I kept coming back to the issue
of violence and he kept denying any knowledge of it.”
Only a week
after this meeting, however, Mugabe gave a very different message.
During the annual ceremony remembering the dead of the war against
white rule, he said of the presidential campaign , “We used violence
to defend what is ours.”
Such contradictions are typical of Mugabe’s
mindset. He continually holds parallel positions, talking about
the one as though the other does not exist. During the Eighties,
he destroyed his first political rival Joshua Nkomo by drawing
him into a so-called unity pact in much the same way as he tried
to neutralize Tsvangirai in 2008. Confusingly, despite loathing
the earlier opposition leader and treating him like dirt, Mugabe
has piously laid red roses on Nkomo’s tomb at Heroes’ Acre in commemoration
of their “hard-won unity” every year since Nkomo died in 1999.
The explanation for Mugabe’s habitual but unconscious double-dealing
is that he simply cannot confront the truth about himself – his
deprivation, his capacity for violence and murder, his stupidity,
shortcomings and limitations. By dividing himself in such a way
that one side of him does not know about the other, he is able
to maintain a false and heroic view of himself. If the two sides
were to meet, he would face humiliation in his own eyes – so this
is never allowed to happen. Dividing himself is an elaborate, though
not uncommon, self-deception that protects him from ever having
to see what a failure he really is in relation even to his own
ideals.
Tsvangirai recalls an amusing moment at the end of his
dinner with Mugabe when the president ticked off an aide. Joking
at the expense of the man who approached his octogenarian boss
while Mugabe was scraping his ice cream bowl to tell him that it
was time for bed, Mugabe looked up and said to Tsvangirai, “These
are the dictators, not me. See how they tell me what to do.”
Zimbabwe’s
opposition leader said he remained puzzled by Robert Mugabe’s capacity
for double-think and denial – and his disconcerting charm. “I left
the hotel wondering why Mugabe is so violent. Why does he resort
to violence whenever he is cornered? Being in his company, I couldn’t
imagine where the violent streak was: I think he suppresses it,
even to himself. Or is it the people around him? He doesn’t seem
as bad when you’re with him, but I know he was trying to manipulate
me that night.”
Despite their friendly meeting, Tsvangirai initially
refused to sign a power-sharing deal that left Mugabe in command
of Zimbabwe’s government. But he insisted he felt “no sense of
bitterness,” adding: “I actually have to admit that I have some
respect for Mugabe, who used to be my hero.”
By mid-September,
Tsvangirai had been arm-twisted into signing what was loudly hailed
as a power-sharing breakthrough. Not surprisingly, Western governments
were skeptical of the Zimbabwe president’s sincerity in offering
a political partnership to the MDC. As a result, Europe and America’s
promised revival of funding for Zimbabwe’s economy was not to be
forthcoming until evidence of genuine power-sharing became apparent
or until, preferably, Mugabe left office.
Britain’s Labour government
under Gordon Brown did not mince its words when addressing the
crisis in Zimbabwe during 2008, though some observers had privately
hoped the departure of Tony Blair might provide an opportunity
for discreet dialogue rather than the continuing and apparently
sterile public condemnation of Mugabe.
Over the months, my own
thoughts returned again and again to the three hours I had spent
at State House in Harare waiting to interview Mugabe at the end
of 2007. Sitting in the Victorian-styled drawing room beside Mugabe’s
spokesperson George Charamba, who had gone from an angry confrontation
in his office a couple of weeks earlier to ultra-friendly mode
while we discussed the impending switch in South Africa’s leadership
from pro-Mugabe Thabo Mbeki to potentially hostile Jacob Zuma,
I was struck by the former journalist’s hunger for news of the
outside world. At one moment in our free-ranging conversation,
responding to my comment that Zanu-PF might want to approach its
problems via diplomacy with, say, Britain, in the future, Charamba’s
eyes widened and he lent forward, breathing heavily.
Do the British
want to talk to us?
I threw my hands up in a gesture of helplessness,
saying I had no idea if dialogue with the British was possible
and explaining that I was simply putting forward an alternative
to the strife of the recent past.
Did I want to share this idea
with HE? Charamba asked, using the shorthand for His Excellency
among Mugabe’s aides.
No, no, I replied, suddenly fearful of losing
the interview I had set up laboriously over two years in favour
of a half-baked discussion about the possibility of talks that
might never occur. The matter was dropped because Mugabe walked
in at that moment. My interview with him went ahead shortly afterwards
as arranged. Nevertheless, Charamba’s intense and unexpected interest
in talking to the British stayed with me.
I began to exploit the
popularity of my book and its rare interview with Mugabe – which
had been published in South Africa shortly before the March elections
- to explore the idea of Britain intervening and acting in the
best interests of suffering Zimbabweans despite their understandable
reluctance to deal with Mugabe. Being the beleaguered country’s
former colonial master, whose successful leverage in the immediate
pre-independence period under Lord Soames persuaded Mugabe to act
responsibly in his early days at the helm, I believe the British
could make good use of their unique standing as the Zimbabwe president’s
role model (whatever Mugabe might constantly claim to the contrary).
Indeed, only the British, in my view, are in a position to influence
Mugabe’s behaviour for the benefit of Zimbabweans, regardless of
widespread insistence on African intervention. Mugabe has shown
time and again that he does not listen to his fellow African leaders
any more than he responds to the cries of his frightened citizens.
For months, I suggested to anyone who would listen that the British
might consider talking to proud, prickly Mugabe rather than humiliating
him further and thus fuelling his excesses. Since my opinions on
Zimbabwe were at the time being sought not only by the media but
also, to my surprise, by numerous diplomats from, among other countries,
Britain and America, I spent many hours explaining in private and
public meetings the absurdity of an author like me being considered
the world expert on Robert Mugabe despite my having spent only
two-and-a-half hours with him in 30 years, a situation which surely
exposed the failure of international diplomacy in Zimbabwe. Many
of the diplomats seemed to agree.
Knowing that Mugabe had been
shunned and vilified by the West to such an extent that his government
operated entirely outside and beyond the influence of supposedly
concerned countries like Britain, I reasoned that my newfound access
to key diplomats might offer an opportunity to encourage a back-channels
approach to Zimbabwe’s dictator. An op-ed piece I wrote in the
New York Times on 1 April, 2008 - entitled Make Peace With Mugabe
and pointing out how existing ineffectual sanctions were being
used by the regime to bolster its claim that all of Zimbabwe’s
problems sprang from foreign interference - provoked some irate
letters complaining of appeasement. The article also provoked further
interest from journalists and diplomats, however. So I added to
my growing list of reasons for constructive British engagement
in Zimbabwe in the face of Africa’s dismal “quiet” diplomacy the
notion that “appeasement” is only mollification if it fails: if
it succeeds, it is a jolly good deed in an imperfect world.
I knew,
of course, that the reason Britain did not care enough about Zimbabwe
to have a go at breaking the deadlock (whereas, by contrast, the
United States had been able to hold its nose long enough to talk
to the ghastly North Koreans) was because Mugabe did not export
terrorism nor produce oil nor have any immediate plans to make
nuclear weapons.
In interviews published and broadcast all over
the world, I suggested that cricket-loving Robert Mugabe with his
immaculate suits and polished diction had not only modeled himself
lifelong on an image once considered the height of human achievement
– the English gentleman – but that his public hatred of Britain
concealed a deep love for the Motherland. Indeed, since Mugabe’s
childhood hero was a posh Anglo-Irish priest and the studious boy
therefore imbibed British values at the expense of his Africanness,
Mugabe is the very embodiment of British colonialism.
It was during
South Africa’s Franschoek Book Festival, an annual event held in
the Cape, that I received an invitation to meet Britain’s High
Commissioner, the Rt Hon Paul Boateng, who had attended one of
my talks. A charming man of Ghanaian ancestry, he seemed more of
a politician than a diplomat. We talked about Zimbabwe’s enigmatic
leader, initially skirting around my repeated and doubtless irritating
calls for the British government to talk to Zimbabwe’s president.
After a while, his voice took on a slightly aggrieved tone.
Our
man in Harare has tried to contact Mugabe on a number of occasions
but he hasn’t once received even a reply to our requests for a
meeting.
With respect, High Commissioner, that’s because your man
in Harare is too lowly for Mugabe.
Boateng winced but nodded thoughtfully
as I told him how I believed a successful approach to Robert Mugabe
might be set up. It would have to be made through a Briton Mugabe
trusted, which was no easy call. Ideally, it would be someone like
the late Lord Soames, who had genuinely liked the Zimbabwe premier
when he endorsed him as the country’s ruler in place of Britain
in 1980; a big man both literally and figuratively, who would not
afraid of Mugabe and would not be intimidated by him. Furthermore,
the right intermediary would have to be someone who was familiar
with Zimbabwe and its history and, above all, someone who would
treat Mugabe with respect. Perhaps not a man but a woman of social
substance, such as the last governor’s widow, Lady Soames, whom
Mugabe adored?
The High Commissioner shook his head firmly at the
latter suggestion on the grounds that Lady Soames was not only
elderly but in poor health. I had anticipated that she, having
represented the Queen in Zimbabwe in the past, might look uncomfortably
official to a government that was hyper-allergic to Robert Mugabe
and determined not to give him an opportunity to mock conciliatory
overtures - but I later confirmed that Mary Soames was indeed unwell.
Although Paul Boateng undertook to convey my ideas to the Foreign
Office and to contact the suggested intermediary, I heard no more
from him. It was while persisting with earlier attempts to persuade
Britain’s Africa Minister Lord Malloch-Brown, through a variety
of sources, to restore diplomatic contact with Mugabe that a newfound
friend from the British High Commission rang me out of the blue
one evening to say she was bringing a member of a visiting British
government delegation, who had just read and enjoyed my book about
Mugabe, for a drink at my guest house in Johannesburg.
The smiling
woman who soon afterwards walked into The Melville House was Labour’s
junior health minister, the Rt Hon Dawn Primarolo MP. With a social
service rather than a purely political background, she listened
keenly to my suggestions. Looking genuinely concerned at the plight
of Zimbabweans, she cautioned that protocol required her to clear
any further discussion on the subject with the High Commissioner.
So I was surprised, early the following morning, to receive an
invitation to meet her at a Pretoria guest house that evening.
When I arrived, the small, exclusive establishment with more
than its usual complement of security guards was abuzz with British
civil servants and assorted South Africans milling around as they
waited to be transported to the High Commission for a reception
to be addressed by the Foreign Secretary David Miliband. I was
told to travel there with Dawn Primarolo and her private secretary
in a chauffeur-driven Jaguar.
As soon as we drew up outside Britain’s
lavish headquarters, I was whisked up a short flight of central,
open stairs by Paul Boateng in party mood. Seated at a table in
a glass room just out of view of the noisy gathering below, I turned
as a tall, raven-haired man strode towards me from a doorway on
the other side of the stairs. He was wearing a dark suit and a
turquoise-striped shirt. Lit to perfection, the young intellectual
who is sometimes tipped as a future leader of Britain’s Labour
Party looked so dashing amid the stylish architecture that I felt
for a moment as if I were in a Rolex commercial.
David Miliband,
he announced, shaking my hand briskly.
I gave him a copy of my
book, which he opened immediately without looking at me. Hesitating
for a moment as he paged through Dinner With Mugabe, I wondered
why he didn’t so much as glance my way, suspected he was a cold
man rather than a shy one, and then quickly addressed my proposal
to the top of his head. When I mentioned that successful dialogue
with Robert Mugabe would rely on the old dictator being treated
respectfully because Mugabe craves recognition by the British above
all else, David Miliband shot me an irritable look. All the British
would ever have to say to Mugabe was, ‘Get out of office,’ he snapped.
Idid not have time in the 20-minute meeting with Miliband to explain
why respect for Mugabe is not the same as appeasement. Respecting
him would mean acknowledging the elaborateness of his self-deception
while maintaining a firm position on the truth. It would mean standing
up to his omnipotence by talking about his abuse and the way he
covers it up by portraying himself in his own eyes as a hero. Whoever
confronted Mugabe on behalf of the British would have to go to
Harare determined to withstand his rage without backing down.
The
self-protective psychological mechanisms are so powerful in Mugabe
that even a sworn enemy can become caught up in the delusion when
he is “the hero”. For a while, he can convincingly become the kindly,
benign figure. That is why Morgan Tsvangirai hardly remembered
the callous murderer and cruel bully during his dinner with Mugabe.
It is why Mugabe is so dangerous: because for him, and for the
person talking to him, the savage, destructive part is so well
hidden that one might almost believe it did not exist.
Without
the time to argue my case to David Miliband, it was clear to me
that he was struggling to believe that Robert Mugabe might be persuaded
to behave better by the British - and that they therefore owed
it to the Zimbabwean people to talk to him, or at least to try.
When I asked if he thought my proposal worthless, however, he replied
perfunctorily that nothing was a waste of time when lives were
at risk. After I had explained exactly why I feared Mugabe might
be the cause of many more deaths before finally relinquishing power,
he relented, took a notepad from his inside jacket pocket, wrote
down the name of the intermediary I had suggested and promised
to put him in touch with the Foreign Office.
On his way to welcome
the assembled guests who were watching us descend the stairs, David
Miliband turned to me, smiled for the first time and asked what
subject I planned to tackle after Mugabe. I told him I was considering
a new book entitled “Out to Lunch With Ahmadinejad”. He laughed,
knowing it was a pointed joke and perhaps taking me seriously for
the first time.
Interestingly, Britain’s opposition Conservative Party put Dinner With Mugabe
onto a mandatory reading list for its MPs shortly afterwards. Some
observers, including Mugabe himself, have noted that the Tories
have more interest in British history and tend to understand the
consequences of colonialism better than Labour. So I was left wondering
if a visit to David Cameron, a likely future prime minister of
Britain, might be worth pursuing on behalf of the Zimbabweans who
face death under Mugabe’s continued misrule.
Whether led by Labour or the Tories, Britain is likely to carry
on hoping that Africa will persuade Mugabe to step aside. The September
axeing from South Africa’s presidency of Thabo Mbeki, the continent’s
mediator in Zimbabwe, left two burning questions unanswered at
the end of 2008: would Mbeki’s successors in the big regional power
next door be more willing to put pressure on Mugabe by, say, closing
the border between the two countries? And if so, would Mugabe then
capitulate, bearing in mind his indifference to the plight of his
own people?
I am often asked if Robert Mugabe has read the book
I wrote about him. The answer is I don’t know but I imagine that,
being narcissistic, he has it permanently beside his bed. The hand-delivered
copy I sent him was certainly given to HE, according to George
Charamba’s personal assistant. The only feedback I have ever had
from the Office of the President, though, was an article in The
Herald, a government daily in which Charamba regularly writes,
complaining that I had portrayed Zimbabwe’s leader as a Prozac
case. I resisted the impulse to write to the editor expressing
my fervent wish that a truckload of emotionally soothing drugs
had been delivered to State House in time to avert the destructive
behavior that has wrecked Zimbabwe.
On a visit to Mugabe’s depressed
country in August, I delivered to Charamba’s office a couple of
copies of an op-ed piece I had penned in the previous day’s edition
of Johannesburg’s The Star. Written specially for Mugabe, it exhorted
him to reawaken the statesmanship he exhibited during his first
years in office, after Lord Soames persuaded him to serve the best
interests of his country by including his opponents in a government
of authentic national unity. “Could this intensely complicated
man make a similarly magnanimous decision so late in his much-vilified
premiership?” I wrote. “It is an audacious idea, and an uncharacteristically
constructive one in the face of the sustained destruction Mugabe
has unleashed on Zimbabwe over the past decade. But it is within
his power to opt for the greater good rather than continued tyranny.”
Equally, it would be admirable if the
British were big enough to get over their need to be right, accept
that they are not blameless in Zimbabwe, and focus on bringing
about the change they want to see in the country. If the desired
outcome entails talking to Mugabe and treating him with the respect
he clearly wants, so be it. Innocent lives spared in Zimbabwe
ought to justify pride swallowed in Britain. That Robert Mugabe
does not deserve to benefit from such altruism is indisputable,
but so is the sad desperation of thousands of Zimbabweans.
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